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\n\tتوجه ویژه به اقشار خاص:

\n

\n\tتمرکز بر حوزه اجتماعی در این انتخابات از سوی کاندیداهایی چون رضایی، قالیباف و عارف هم به عنوان یک دستورکار مهم انتخاب شده بود، با این حال، مرور وعده های روحانی نشان می دهد که او با وعده های مصداقی تر چون " قانون 3 درصد استخدام معلولان را اجرا می کنم"، "برای بیماران صعب العلاج کارت هوشمند صادر شده و هزینه درمانشان بر عهده دولت خواهد بود"، "ارایه لایحه های خاص برای زنان سرپرست خانوار"، "برنامه های ویژه کاهش اعتیاد و طلاق"، با دست پرتری به میدان آمده بود.

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\n\tمهم ترین مشکل روحانی در این زمینه، بار مالی چنین مصوباتی است. در واقع کسی مخالف اجرای چنین قوانینی نیست ولی پولی برای اجرایش یافت نمی شود یا اینکه اعتبارات اختصاص داده شده به اندازه ای اندک هستند که نمی توانند بار را به منزل برسانند.

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\n\tبرای بازگشت به صفحه اصلی روی علامت ضربدر کلیک کنید

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\n\tارایه مدل اقتصادی:

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\n\tاظهارات حسن روحانی در حوزه اقتصاد معطوف به شعارهای کوتاه مدت یا کابردی در حوزه اقتصاد نبود، او به مانند محسن رضایی، از ارایه یک مدل فکری هم سخن گفت: " مدل اقتصادی مورد پسند من، اقتصاد آزاد و عادلانه است که منجر به کرامت انسانی توأم با توسعه و نیازهای اقتصادی جامعه شود. در کتاب اقتصادی هم توسعه انسانی دین محور را به عنوان مدل آورده ام."

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\n\tروحانی درباره مکانسیم های اجرایی شدن این مدل، به طور مفصل سخن نگفته است، با این حال از ملغمه "اقتصاد آزاد"، "عدالت"، "توسعه" و "دین"، بعید است چیزی راهگشا استخراج شود. 

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\n\tبرای بازگشت به صفحه اصلی روی علامت ضربدر کلیک کنید

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\n\tبرای بازگشت به صفحه اصلی روی علامت ضربدر کلیک کنید

\n", "link": null, "duration": "00:32.24", "top": 24, "width": 286, "height": 34, "style": { "borderSize": 0, "roundedEdges": 0, "borderColor": "rgba(0,0,0,1)", "dropShadowX": 0, "backgroundColor": "rgba(0,0,0,0)", "dropShadowY": 0, "opacity": 1, "dropShadowBlur": 0, "rotation": 0, "dropShadowColor": "rgba(0,0,0,1)" }, "databegin": "00:00.00", "transitionOut": null, "fitToWindow": false, "dataend": "00:32.24", "zIndex": 5, "transitionIn": { "duration": "1", "type": "fade" }, "type": "txt-Default" }, { "id": "04913489-F23A-044E-5B7C-9CA468198923", "left": 314, "text": "

\n\tانتصاب معاون اقلیت ها:

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\n\tانتصاب معاون اقلیت ها: اجرای اصول 15 و 19 قانون اساسی، توجه به قومیت ها و اقلیت ها، از جمله شعارهای انتخاباتی بود که ابتدا توسط محسن رضایی و سپس محمدرضا عارف مورد توجه جدی قرار گرفت. با این حال، حسن روحانی به طور مشخص تر به آن پرداخت. وی در دیدار با گروهی از نخبگان اهل سنت وعده داد: " باید به مسائل و درددل اقلیت ها رسیدگی کنیم و اگر یک نفر در کنار رئیس جمهور از اقلیت ها باشد می تواند ما را با مشکلات آنها آشناتر کند. باید در کنار دولت یک نفر معاون از اقلیت حضور داشته باشد تا به مسائل اقلیت ها رسیدگی شود."

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\n\tدر ادامه، در تبریز وعده تاسیس فرهنگستان زبان آذری، اجرای اصول ۱۵ و ۱۹ قانون اساسی را داد و با اشاره به اجرایی شدن "تدریس زبان مادری ایرانیان (کردی، آذری، عربی و...) بطور رسمی در سطوح مدارس و دانشگاهها" در بیانیه ای 9 بندی به حقوق اقلیت ها و اقوام پرداخت.

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\n\tدر سنندج هم در جمع مردم کرد اعلام کرد: "به وعدهایی که در بیانیه اقوام و مذهب به شما دادم پایبند هستم و به آن عمل می کنم." وی البته در این شهر گفت مسئوولیت برنامه ریزی و هماهنگی های لازم برای اجرایی شدن این امور را به یکی از معاونان رئیس جمهور واگذار می کنم و سخن از تشکیل معاونت جدید به میان نیاورد.

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\n\tوعده های روحانی در این بخش اگرچه خیلی تازه نیست ولی به اندازه کافی جسورانه است. مشکل مهم در تحقق این وعده ها، نگرش اصولگرایانه مجلس نیست، ساختار کلی نظام کنونی به مسئله قومیت ها حساس بوده و در سال های اخیر، فشارها روی قومیت ها و اقلیت ها افزایش یافته است. به نظر می رسد او در برداشتن گام های ابتدایی مانند تاسیس فرهنگستان یا انتصاب مدیران قومی و اقلیت، مشکل چندانی نداشته باشد ولی در حوزه هایی که نیازمند مصوبه و همکاری سایر قوا و اجزای نظام سیاسی است، کار سخت و پرحاشیه ای پیش رو دارد. 

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\n\tبرای بازگشت به صفحه اصلی روی علامت ضربدر کلیک کنید

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\n\tبرای بازگشت به صفحه اصلی روی علامت ضربدر کلیک کنید

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\n\tتغییرات تازه در سازمان مدیریت و برنامه: 

\n

\n\tسازمان مدیریت و برنامه ریزی، از جمله حاشیه سازترین نهادهایی بوده که تقریبا هر هشت کاندیدای انتخابات وعده دادند آن را احیا می کنند و رویه محمود احمدی نژاد را در پی نخواهند گرفت. با این حال، روحانی وعده های مشخص تری داد. نخست اینکه  "در ماه اول سازمان برنامه و بودجه در دولت تدبیر و امید به عرصه خدمت باز خواهد گشت"، دوم اینکه "باید اشکالات گذشتۀ آن رفع و با ساز وکار جدید این سازمان احیا شود" و سومی که به نظر مهم تر می رسد، این بود "رئیس این سازمان، ترجیحا باید معاون اول رئیس جمهور باشد." اعطای چنین نقشی به معاون اول رئیس جمهور، نقش او را از یک هماهنگ کننده یا میانجی در سایه بیرون آورده و در حد و اندازه شخص رئیس جمهور می کند.  

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\n\tبرای بازگشت به صفحه اصلی روی علامت ضربدر کلیک کنید

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\n\tبرای بازگشت به صفحه اصلی روی علامت ضربدر کلیک کنید

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\n\tتشکیل وزارت زنان:

\n

\n\tرفع تبعیض و تفکیک جنسیتی در مورد  زنان در همه حوزه ها با اهداف متنوعی چون "جبران تفاوت فاحش بین نرخ بیکاری زنان و مردان"، "برخورداری همه زنان از پوشش بیمه خدمات تأمین اجتماعی"، "حمایت ویژه از زنان سرپرست خانوار" و ... با راهبرد تشکیل وزارت زنان، از جمله وعده های مهمی بود که روحانی داده است. در واقع بیشترین تمرکز و حجم و وعده های انتخاباتی او پس از اقتصاد، روی زنان متمرکز بوده است.

\n

\n\t 

\n

\n\tنکته قابل توجه در این بخش و تفاوت او با سایر کاندیداها، توجه حسن روحانی به ابعاد فقهی و تلاش برای بازنگری در این بخش بوده است: "دولت آینده از علمای بزرگ و کارشناسان بزرگ و از حوزه های علمیه تقاضا خواهد کرد به اصل زمان و مکان در اجتهاد مورد توجه ویژه ای قرار دهند. در این صورت شاهد شرایط جدیدی در کشور باشیم. نمی توان گفت دختر 9 ساله در صورت وقوع جرم باید مجازات شود اما پسر 14 ساله نه. در بلوغ عبادی بحثی نداریم ولی در بلوغ سیاسی اجتماعی، اقتصادی و بلوغ کیفری جای بحث دارد... باید مورد بحث قرار گیرد که آیا پس از طلاق زنان سهمی در ثروت همسران سابق ندارند." این رویکرد که بر خلاف رویکرد هیجانی و مقطعی دولت احمدی نژاد درباره زنان است، می تواند رویکردی هوشمندانه باشد و بخش مهمی از مشکلات حسن روحانی را در حل مشکلات زنان ایران کاهش دهد.

\n

\n\t 

\n

\n\tبا این وجود، پوشیده نیست که عمده تلاش های موفق وی به حوزه های اقتصادی و یا اجتماعی محدود خواهد بود، در حوزه های فرهنگی هنوز جمهوری اسلامی به سختی با تغییرات مخالفت می کند و تلاش های روحانی نیز چالش هایی در این زمینه رقم می زند. 

\n

\n\t 

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\n\tتحقیق و نگارش متن: رضا حقیقت نژاد

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\n\tتهیه و تدوین: علاء محسنی

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\n\tحل مشکل پرونده هسته ای:

\n

\n\tپرونده هسته ای نیز از جمله سوژه های اصلی مورد توجه در انتخابات ریاست جمهوری بودند. چهار کاندیدا یعنی محسن رضایی، سعید جلیلی، علی اکبر ولایتی و حسن روحانی تمرکز بیشتری در این حوزه داشتند که در این میان، ولایتی و روحانی با خوشبینی بیشتری درباره حل مشکل سخن گفتند و روحانی قاطع تر از ولایتی، وعده حل مشکلات را داد.

\n

\n\t 

\n

\n\tاو در طول انتخابات از گام های مشخصی در این زمینه سخن گفته است. اولین قدمش استفاده از مذاکره برای جلوگیری از افزایش تحریم هاست. در مورد سایر گام های تکمیلی اما پیش شرط هایی گذاشته که قبلا مورد انتقاد مقامات غربی قرار گرفته بود. نکته مهم در این زمینه، قدرت استفاده او از مجوز اخیر رهبر جمهوری اسلامی برای مذاکره با مقامات آمریکایی است. در واقع روحانی نسبت به چهره های اصولگرا، دشواری کمتری برای ورود به این موقعیت دارد، نظام سیاسی نیز با توجه به وضعیت جدید و پیشینه فعالیت های روحانی در مذاکرات هسته ای، مشکل خاصی برای ورود اولیه به این فاز ندارد، بنابراین می توان پیش بینی کرد که شاه کلید روحانی در این حوزه، حداقل تا یک سال به نرمی خواهد چرخید و تبعات مثبتی بر فضای اقتصادی و سیاست خارجی ایران بر جای خواهد گذاشت.

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\n\tبرای بازگشت به صفحه اصلی روی علامت ضربدر کلیک کنید

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\n\tبرای بازگشت به صفحه اصلی روی علامت ضربدر کلیک کنید

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\n\tبرای بازگشت به صفحه اصلی روی علامت ضربدر کلیک کنید

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\n\tبرنامه زمان بندی مشخص: 

\n

\n\tیکی از وجوه تمایز حسن روحانی با سایر کاندیداها، ارایه یک برنامه زمان بندی مشخص چند مرحله ای برای حل مشکلات اقتصادی بود. قالیباف از وعده دو ساله گفت، ولایتی از وعده صد روزه، ولی حسن روحانی آن را تقسیم بندی کرد: "برای از پیشِ روی برداشتن مشکلات اقتصادی برنامه یک ماهه، سه ماهه، یک ساله و چهارساله در نظر گرفته ایم. مردم در همان دو ماه اول دولت تدبیر و امید آثار کارهای انجام شده را می بینند."

\n

\n\t 

\n

\n\tبا این وجود گره خوردگی اقتصاد به حوزه سیاست خارجی، کار روحانی را برای عمل کردن به این وعده های مهم در حوزه اقتصاد سخت می کند. او باید ابتدا شاه کلیدش را برای حل مشکل پرونده هسته ای به کار بیندازد تا بعد کلیدهای فرعی، به کار بیایند.

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\n\tبرای بازگشت به صفحه اصلی روی علامت ضربدر کلیک کنید

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\n\tبرای بازگشت به صفحه اصلی روی علامت ضربدر کلیک کنید

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\n\tتدوین منشور حقوق شهروندی:

\n

\n\tاحیای اصل 3 قانون اساسی ایران، "تدوین منشور حقوق شهروندی"، به گونه ای که "تمام مردم احساس برابری خواهند کرد"، از جمله وعده هایی بوده که روحانی در طول ایام انتخابات حداقل 11 بار به طور مستقیم درباره اش سخن گفته است.

\n

\n\t 

\n

\n\tاصل سوم قانون اساسی ایران، اصلی مفصل در 16 بند است که موارد متعددی از "تأمین‏ آزادی های‏ سیاسی‏ و اجتماعی‏ در حدود قانون" و "رفع تبعیضات‏ ناروا و ایجاد امکانات‏ عادلانه‏ برای‏ همه‏، در تمام‏ زمینه‏ های‏ مادی‏ و معنوی‏" تا "تأمین‏ حقوق‏ همه‏ جانبه‏ افراد از زن‏ و مرد و ایجاد امنیت‏ قضایی‏ عادلانه‏ برای‏ همه‏ و تساوی‏ عموم‏ در برابر قانون‏" را مورد توجه قرار داده است.

\n

\n\t 

\n

\n\tبه نظر نمی رسد وی با توجه به کلی بودن اصل مورد استناد در تدوین منشور حقوق شهروندی مشکلی داشته باشد ولی در صورت ارایه این لایحه به مجلس، بندهایی از اصل 3 چون "مبارزه‏ با کلیه‏ مظاهر فساد و تباهی‏" و "طرد کامل‏ استعمار و جلوگیری‏ از نفوذ اجانب" می تواند دستاویز اصولگرایان حاضر در این مجلس برای ایجاد تغییرات محتوایی در آن قرار گیرد.

\n
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\n\tبرای بازگشت به صفحه اصلی روی علامت ضربدر کلیک کنید

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\n\tبرای بازگشت به صفحه اصلی روی علامت ضربدر کلیک کنید

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\n\tتوجه ویژه به نهادهای مدنی: 

\n

\n\tیکی دیگر از سرفصل های مهم حسن روحانی در سه حوزه اقتصاد، اجتماع و فرهنگ توجه به نهادهای مدنی بود. در حوزه اقتصاد، وعده داد که با نهادهای صنفی برای تعیین وزیر مشورت می کند: "در انتخاب وزیر به غیر از مجلس که حق قانونی برای رای دارد، من حتما از صاحبنظران آن بخش مشورت خواهم گرفت"

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\n\t 

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\n\tدر حوزه تکنولوژی حتی  وعده داد که با انتصاب مشاور فناوری های نوین ریاست جمهوری، به طور دایم با انجمن های علمی در تماس باشد. در حوزه نشر از واگذاری امور به صنف ها خبر داد و گفت باید نظام صنفی، جایگزین نظام قضایی برای داوری امور داخلی شود.

\n

\n\t 

\n

\n\tدر حوزه های سینما، مطبوعات و ... نیز بارها بر احیای نهادهای صنفی، واسطه و مدنی تاکید کرد. این رویکرد در دولت خاتمی نیز در حوزه های اجتماعی و فرهنگی مورد توجه قرار گرفت ولی با واکنش صریح حاکمیتی روبرو شد. در این دوره، روحانی به نظر می رسد در نظر دارد آن را به حوزه های مدیریتی، اقتصادی و علمی نیز گسترش دهد. امری که قطعا کم حاشیه تر خواهد بود. با این حال نباید از نظر دور داشت که ساختار کلی حکومت در ایران، همواره سبب شده که توجه یا تاثیرگذاری نهادهای صنفی و مدنی در حد شعار باقی بماند.

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\n\tبرای بازگشت به صفحه اصلی روی علامت ضربدر کلیک کنید

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\n\tپرداخت یارانه کالایی:

\n

\n\tدر طول تبلیغات انتخاباتی، حسن روحانی به طور ویژه بر روی هدفمندشدن یارانه ها تمرکز نکرد. یکی از مهم ترین شعارهای او این بود که در دولت آینده، کاری می کنیم که مردم نیازی به یارانه نقدی نداشته باشند. وی در عین حال تاکید کرد: "در دولت تدبیر و امید در کنار یارانه نقدی، یارانه کالایی برای کالاهای اساسی داده خواهد شد تا قشرهایی که دهک های پایین و آنهایی که بیشتر در فشارند، دغدغه نداشته باشند." مشابه این پیشنهاد را چندی پیش احمد توکلی مطرح کرده و خواستار بازگشت به نظام کوپنی شده بود. حسن روحانی پس از پیروزی انتخاباتی، نخستین جلسه اش با اعضای کابینه دولت دهم را با وزیر صنعت و معدن و تجارت برگزار کرد تا درباره وضعیت کالاهای اساسی پرس و جو کند.

\n

\n\t 

\n

\n\tاو در انتخابات وعده داده بود که در سه ماهه اول، بسته های تشویقی اقتصادی به مردم خواهد داد. به نظر می رسد بخشی از این وعده های مشوق، در زمینه یارانه کالایی خواهد بود تا با کاهش اثر تورم، فضای امیدوارانه پس از انتخابات کماکان حفظ شود.

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\n\tبرای بازگشت به صفحه اصلی روی علامت ضربدر کلیک کنید

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\n\tبرای بازگشت به صفحه اصلی روی علامت ضربدر کلیک کنید

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